Postmatch editorial

Mantova upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Brescia 1-2 Mantova. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Brescia struck first through Gennaro Borrelli 7', but Mantova recovered and flipped the match.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Mantova led Corners 1-3. Mantova also shaded Possession 34%-66%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Brescia the favourite at 46.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Brescia

46.2%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Mantova

Brescia

Mantova

1

3

Possession

Mantova

Brescia

Mantova

34%

66%

Shots on target

Mantova

Brescia

Mantova

6

8