Postmatch editorial

Connah's Quay flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Bravo 0-1 Connah's Quay. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Ben Maher scored 83' for Connah's Quay.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Bravo led Shots on target 3-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Bravo also shaded Corners 8-6.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Bravo the favourite at 87.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Bravo

87.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Bravo

Bravo

Connah's Quay

3

2

Corners

Bravo

Bravo

Connah's Quay

8

6

Possession

Connah's Quay

Bravo

Connah's Quay

49%

51%