Postmatch editorial

Lillestrøm flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Brann 1-2 Lillestrøm. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Felix Vá put the first mark on the match 6', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Brann led Corners 12-0, even though the scoreboard went another way. Brann also shaded Total shots 24-8.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Brann the favourite at 54.1% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Brann

54.1%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Brann

Brann

Lillestrøm

12

0

Total shots

Brann

Brann

Lillestrøm

24

8

Possession

Brann

Brann

Lillestrøm

73%

27%