Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Bradford City 1-2 Cambridge United. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Ben Knight scored 88' for Cambridge United.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Bradford City led Shots on target 5-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Bradford City also shaded Total shots 19-7.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Bradford City the favourite at 51.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Bradford City

51.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Bradford City

Bradford City

Cambridge United

5

2

Total shots

Bradford City

Bradford City

Cambridge United

19

7

Corners

Bradford City

Bradford City

Cambridge United

12

3