Postmatch editorial

The prices said close and the pitch agreed

The final score was Botafogo 1-1 Fluminense. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.

Alex Telles  put the first mark on the match 44', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Botafogo led Shots on target 7-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Botafogo also shaded Total shots 22-14.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Botafogo the favourite at 43.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Botafogo

43.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Botafogo

Botafogo

Fluminense

7

4

Total shots

Botafogo

Botafogo

Fluminense

22

14

Possession

Fluminense

Botafogo

Fluminense

41%

59%