Postmatch editorial
Athletico PR upset the pre-match prices
The final score was Botafogo 2-3 Athletico PR. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
João Cruz put the first mark on the match 11', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Botafogo led Total shots 33-7, even though the scoreboard went another way. Botafogo also shaded Corners 13-2.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Botafogo the favourite at 41.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Botafogo
41.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
BotafogoBotafogo
Athletico PR
33
7
Corners
BotafogoBotafogo
Athletico PR
13
2
Shots on target
BotafogoBotafogo
Athletico PR
8
6