Bosnia and Herzegovina
Austria won after full-time.
1 - 2
FT
Austria
Postmatch editorial
The script held and Austria delivered it
The final score was Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-2 Austria. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Marcel Sabitzer put the first mark on the match 49', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Austria led Shots on target 3-5. Bosnia and Herzegovina also shaded Total shots 16-11.
Before kickoff, our model made Austria the likeliest result at 61.2%, while the median bookmaker line priced Austria at 59.5% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (52.1%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Austria
61.2%
Market result
Austria
59.5%
BTTS
No
52.1%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
AustriaBosnia and Herzegovina
Austria
3
5
Total shots
Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina
Austria
16
11
Possession
AustriaBosnia and Herzegovina
Austria
42%
58%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.