Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach won after full-time.
2 - 0
FT
St. Pauli
Postmatch editorial
Borussia Mönchengladbach turned the pre-match edge into points
The final score was Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-0 St. Pauli. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Kevin Stöger put the first mark on the match 37', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Borussia Mönchengladbach led Shots on target 4-1. St. Pauli also shaded Possession 40%-60%.
Before kickoff, our model made Borussia Mönchengladbach the likeliest result at 45.2%, while the median bookmaker line priced Borussia Mönchengladbach at 51.3% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (52.4%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Borussia Mönchengladbach
45.2%
Market result
Borussia Mönchengladbach
51.3%
BTTS
Yes
52.4%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
St. Pauli
4
1
Possession
St. PauliBorussia Mönchengladbach
St. Pauli
40%
60%
Total shots
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
St. Pauli
10
8
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.