Borussia Mönchengladbach
Game ended in draw.
1 - 1
FT
FSV Mainz 05
Postmatch editorial
Neither side managed to pull the match clear
The final score was Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-1 FSV Mainz 05. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.
The late equaliser came from Nadiem Amiri 90+8', which kept the game level at the finish.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: FSV Mainz 05 led Corners 0-6, even though the scoreboard went another way. FSV Mainz 05 also shaded Shots on target 4-7.
Before kickoff, our model made Borussia Mönchengladbach the likeliest result at 42.6%, while the median bookmaker line priced Borussia Mönchengladbach at 44.4% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (55.6%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Borussia Mönchengladbach
42.6%
Market result
Borussia Mönchengladbach
44.4%
BTTS
Yes
55.6%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
FSV Mainz 05Borussia Mönchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
0
6
Shots on target
FSV Mainz 05Borussia Mönchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
4
7
Total shots
FSV Mainz 05Borussia Mönchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
9
17
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.