Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach won after full-time.
1 - 0
FT
FC Union Berlin
Postmatch editorial
Borussia Mönchengladbach settled a divided pre-match read
The final score was Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-0 FC Union Berlin. The model and the market were not perfectly aligned, but one side of that divide ended up cashing out.
The decisive turn arrived late when Kevin Diks scored 90+4' for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Borussia Mönchengladbach led Shots on target 7-2. Borussia Mönchengladbach also shaded Total shots 21-6.
Before kickoff, our model made FC Union Berlin the likeliest result at 41.6%, while the median bookmaker line priced Borussia Mönchengladbach at 42.2% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (58.0%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
FC Union Berlin
41.6%
Market result
Borussia Mönchengladbach
42.2%
BTTS
Yes
58.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
FC Union Berlin
7
2
Total shots
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
FC Union Berlin
21
6
Corners
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
FC Union Berlin
6
2
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.