Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach won after full-time.
1 - 0
FT
Borussia Dortmund
Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the pre-match lean
The final score was Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-0 Borussia Dortmund. It landed away from the main pre-match lean and counts as a genuine twist in the numbers.
The decisive turn arrived late when Haris Tabakovic scored 88' for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Borussia Mönchengladbach led Shots on target 4-1. Borussia Mönchengladbach also shaded Total shots 12-6.
Before kickoff, our model made Borussia Dortmund the likeliest result at 41.9%, while the median bookmaker line priced Borussia Dortmund at 52.4% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (55.6%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Borussia Dortmund
41.9%
Market result
Borussia Dortmund
52.4%
BTTS
Yes
55.6%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Dortmund
4
1
Total shots
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Dortmund
12
6
Possession
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Dortmund
51%
49%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.