Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund won after full-time.
4 - 0
FT
SC Freiburg
Postmatch editorial
The script held and Borussia Dortmund delivered it
The final score was Borussia Dortmund 4-0 SC Freiburg. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Fábio Silva scored 87' for Borussia Dortmund.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Borussia Dortmund led Corners 5-0. Borussia Dortmund also shaded Total shots 17-7.
Before kickoff, our model made Borussia Dortmund the likeliest result at 62.2%, while the median bookmaker line priced Borussia Dortmund at 69.4% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (52.1%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Borussia Dortmund
62.2%
Market result
Borussia Dortmund
69.4%
BTTS
Yes
52.1%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
SC Freiburg
5
0
Total shots
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
SC Freiburg
17
7
Possession
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
SC Freiburg
61%
39%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.