Borussia Dortmund
FC Bayern München won after full-time.
2 - 3
FT
FC Bayern München
Postmatch editorial
FC Bayern München turned the pre-match edge into points
The final score was Borussia Dortmund 2-3 FC Bayern München. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Borussia Dortmund struck first through Nico Schlotterbeck 26', but FC Bayern München recovered and flipped the match.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: FC Bayern München led Shots on target 2-6. FC Bayern München also shaded Possession 33%-67%.
Before kickoff, our model made FC Bayern München the likeliest result at 43.9%, while the median bookmaker line priced FC Bayern München at 57.8% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (61.3%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
FC Bayern München
43.9%
Market result
FC Bayern München
57.8%
BTTS
Yes
61.3%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
FC Bayern MünchenBorussia Dortmund
FC Bayern München
2
6
Possession
FC Bayern MünchenBorussia Dortmund
FC Bayern München
33%
67%
Corners
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
FC Bayern München
5
2
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.