Borussia Dortmund
Bayer 04 Leverkusen won after full-time.
0 - 1
FT
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Postmatch editorial
Bayer 04 Leverkusen bent the night away from the script
The final score was Borussia Dortmund 0-1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen. It landed away from the main pre-match lean and counts as a genuine twist in the numbers.
Robert Andrich put the first mark on the match 42', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Bayer 04 Leverkusen led Shots on target 1-4. Borussia Dortmund also shaded Total shots 14-11.
Before kickoff, our model made Borussia Dortmund the likeliest result at 54.7%, while the median bookmaker line priced Borussia Dortmund at 49.5% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (54.7%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Borussia Dortmund
54.7%
Market result
Borussia Dortmund
49.5%
BTTS
Yes
54.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Bayer 04 LeverkusenBorussia Dortmund
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1
4
Total shots
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
14
11
Possession
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
53%
47%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.