Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Boreham Wood 0-5 Burton Albion. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when JJ McKiernan scored 90+2' for Burton Albion.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Boreham Wood led Corners 8-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Burton Albion also shaded Shots on target 4-7.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Boreham Wood the favourite at 58.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Boreham Wood

58.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Boreham Wood

Boreham Wood

Burton Albion

8

2

Shots on target

Burton Albion

Boreham Wood

Burton Albion

4

7

Total shots

Boreham Wood

Boreham Wood

Burton Albion

12

9