Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Bolton Wanderers 0-1 Lincoln City. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Ben House put the first mark on the match 66', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Bolton Wanderers led Shots on target 6-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Bolton Wanderers also shaded Total shots 21-8.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Bolton Wanderers the favourite at 40.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Bolton Wanderers

40.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Bolton Wanderers

Bolton Wanderers

Lincoln City

6

2

Total shots

Bolton Wanderers

Bolton Wanderers

Lincoln City

21

8

Corners

Bolton Wanderers

Bolton Wanderers

Lincoln City

14

2