Postmatch editorial

The prices said close and the pitch agreed

The final score was Boca Juniors 1-1 Vélez Sarsfield. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.

Diego Valdés put the first mark on the match 12', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Boca Juniors led Total shots 30-8, even though the scoreboard went another way. Boca Juniors also shaded Shots on target 8-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Boca Juniors the favourite at 61.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Boca Juniors

61.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors

Vélez Sarsfield

30

8

Shots on target

Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors

Vélez Sarsfield

8

4

Possession

Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors

Vélez Sarsfield

59%

41%