Postmatch editorial

Grazer AK upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Blau-Weiß Linz 0-3 Grazer AK. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Daniel Maderner scored 90+1' for Grazer AK.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Blau-Weiß Linz led Possession 63%-37%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Grazer AK also shaded Total shots 12-15.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Blau-Weiß Linz the favourite at 47.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Blau-Weiß Linz

47.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Blau-Weiß Linz

Blau-Weiß Linz

Grazer AK

63%

37%

Total shots

Grazer AK

Blau-Weiß Linz

Grazer AK

12

15

Corners

Grazer AK

Blau-Weiß Linz

Grazer AK

3

4