Postmatch editorial

Blackburn Rovers upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Middlesbrough. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Middlesbrough struck first through Jeremy Sarmiento 12', but Blackburn Rovers recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Middlesbrough led Total shots 6-22, even though the scoreboard went another way. Middlesbrough also shaded Corners 2-10.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Middlesbrough the favourite at 50.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Middlesbrough

50.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Middlesbrough

Blackburn Rovers

Middlesbrough

6

22

Corners

Middlesbrough

Blackburn Rovers

Middlesbrough

2

10

Possession

Middlesbrough

Blackburn Rovers

Middlesbrough

29%

71%