Postmatch editorial

The prices said close and the pitch agreed

The final score was Birmingham City 1-1 Southampton. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.

Keven Schlotterbeck put the first mark on the match 45+3', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Southampton led Possession 37%-63%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Southampton also shaded Corners 3-5.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Southampton the favourite at 40.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Southampton

40.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Southampton

Birmingham City

Southampton

37%

63%

Corners

Southampton

Birmingham City

Southampton

3

5

Total shots

Birmingham City

Birmingham City

Southampton

16

13