Postmatch editorial
Birkirkara flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Birkirkara 1-0 Olimpija after extra time. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Diego Silva put the first mark on the match 27', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Olimpija led Corners 1-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Olimpija also shaded Total shots 10-11.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Olimpija the favourite at 51.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Olimpija
51.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
OlimpijaBirkirkara
Olimpija
1
4
Total shots
OlimpijaBirkirkara
Olimpija
10
11
Shots on target
Birkirkara
Olimpija
4
4