Postmatch editorial

Modena flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Benevento 1-2 Modena. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Benevento struck first through Francesco Salvemini 26', but Modena recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Benevento led Corners 8-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Modena also shaded Shots on target 3-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Benevento the favourite at 41.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Benevento

41.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Benevento

Benevento

Modena

8

4

Shots on target

Modena

Benevento

Modena

3

4

Total shots

Benevento

Benevento

Modena

16

13