Postmatch editorial
Benevento made the pre-match prices look right
The final score was Benevento 3-1 Livorno. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Oliver Kragl scored 90+5' for Benevento.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Benevento led Total shots 27-14. Livorno also shaded Corners 3-7.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Benevento the favourite at 91.7% implied probability. That market lean landed.
Market check
Market result
Benevento
91.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
BeneventoBenevento
Livorno
27
14
Corners
LivornoBenevento
Livorno
3
7
Possession
BeneventoBenevento
Livorno
62%
38%