Postmatch editorial

Argentinos Juniors upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Belgrano 0-1 Argentinos Juniors. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Francisco Álvarez put the first mark on the match 45+3', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Argentinos Juniors led Shots on target 2-4. Argentinos Juniors also shaded Possession 36%-64%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Belgrano the favourite at 43.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Belgrano

43.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Argentinos Juniors

Belgrano

Argentinos Juniors

2

4

Possession

Argentinos Juniors

Belgrano

Argentinos Juniors

36%

64%

Total shots

Belgrano

Belgrano

Argentinos Juniors

10

9