Postmatch editorial
The script held and Belgium delivered it
The final score was Belgium 7-0 Liechtenstein. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Hans Vanaken put the first mark on the match 3', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Belgium led Shots on target 13-1. Belgium also shaded Total shots 23-2.
Before kickoff, our model made Belgium the likeliest result at 89.8%, while the median bookmaker line priced Belgium at 99.0% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (75.9%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Belgium
89.8%
Market result
Belgium
99.0%
BTTS
No
75.9%
Match numbers
Shots on target
BelgiumBelgium
Liechtenstein
13
1
Total shots
BelgiumBelgium
Liechtenstein
23
2
Corners
BelgiumBelgium
Liechtenstein
15
0
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.