Postmatch editorial

The script held and Denmark delivered it

The final score was Belarus 0-6 Denmark. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.

The decisive turn arrived late when Anders Dreyer scored 78' for Denmark.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Denmark led Shots on target 1-11. Denmark also shaded Total shots 5-24.

Before kickoff, our model made Denmark the likeliest result at 59.3%, while the median bookmaker line priced Denmark at 89.3% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (58.2%), and that angle landed.

Prediction checks

Model result

Denmark

59.3%

Hit

Market result

Denmark

89.3%

Hit

BTTS

No

58.2%

Hit
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Denmark

Belarus

Denmark

1

11

Total shots

Denmark

Belarus

Denmark

5

24

Possession

Denmark

Belarus

Denmark

23%

77%

Value angle

No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.