Postmatch editorial

Austria Wien upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Beitar Jerusalem 1-2 Austria Wien. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Beitar Jerusalem struck first through Noam Muche 19', but Austria Wien recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Beitar Jerusalem led Corners 6-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Beitar Jerusalem also shaded Possession 69%-31%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Beitar Jerusalem the favourite at 51.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Beitar Jerusalem

51.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Beitar Jerusalem

Beitar Jerusalem

Austria Wien

6

1

Possession

Beitar Jerusalem

Beitar Jerusalem

Austria Wien

69%

31%

Total shots

Beitar Jerusalem

Beitar Jerusalem

Austria Wien

14

9