Postmatch editorial

AEK Larnaca upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Beitar Jerusalem 2-3 AEK Larnaca after extra time. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Riad Bajic scored 90+2' for AEK Larnaca.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Beitar Jerusalem led Shots on target 12-6, even though the scoreboard went another way. Beitar Jerusalem also shaded Total shots 24-10.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Beitar Jerusalem the favourite at 50.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Beitar Jerusalem

50.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Beitar Jerusalem

Beitar Jerusalem

AEK Larnaca

12

6

Total shots

Beitar Jerusalem

Beitar Jerusalem

AEK Larnaca

24

10

Possession

Beitar Jerusalem

Beitar Jerusalem

AEK Larnaca

63%

37%