Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen won after full-time.
6 - 3
FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Postmatch editorial
Bayer 04 Leverkusen made the numbers look right
The final score was Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6-3 VfL Wolfsburg. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
VfL Wolfsburg struck first through Jonas Wind 16', but Bayer 04 Leverkusen recovered and flipped the match.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Bayer 04 Leverkusen led Shots on target 11-5. Bayer 04 Leverkusen also shaded Corners 12-2.
Before kickoff, our model made Bayer 04 Leverkusen the likeliest result at 61.8%, while the median bookmaker line priced Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 69.2% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (52.2%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
61.8%
Market result
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
69.2%
BTTS
Yes
52.2%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Bayer 04 LeverkusenBayer 04 Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg
11
5
Corners
Bayer 04 LeverkusenBayer 04 Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg
12
2
Total shots
Bayer 04 LeverkusenBayer 04 Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg
25
11
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.