Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Game ended in draw.
1 - 1
FT
Hamburger SV
Postmatch editorial
Neither side managed to pull the match clear
The final score was Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-1 Hamburger SV. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.
The late equaliser came from Jarell Quansah 78', which kept the game level at the finish.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Bayer 04 Leverkusen led Corners 8-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Bayer 04 Leverkusen also shaded Shots on target 9-6.
Before kickoff, our model made Bayer 04 Leverkusen the likeliest result at 57.9%, while the median bookmaker line priced Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 78.1% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (57.8%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
57.9%
Market result
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
78.1%
BTTS
Yes
57.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
Bayer 04 LeverkusenBayer 04 Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
8
3
Shots on target
Bayer 04 LeverkusenBayer 04 Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
9
6
Possession
Bayer 04 LeverkusenBayer 04 Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
60%
40%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.