Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Game ended in draw.
1 - 1
FT
FSV Mainz 05
Postmatch editorial
Neither side managed to pull the match clear
The final score was Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-1 FSV Mainz 05. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.
The late equaliser came from Jarell Quansah 88', which kept the game level at the finish.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Bayer 04 Leverkusen led Corners 6-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Bayer 04 Leverkusen also shaded Possession 66%-34%.
Before kickoff, our model made Bayer 04 Leverkusen the likeliest result at 66.4%, while the median bookmaker line priced Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 59.5% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (51.1%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
66.4%
Market result
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
59.5%
BTTS
Yes
51.1%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
Bayer 04 LeverkusenBayer 04 Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05
6
2
Possession
Bayer 04 LeverkusenBayer 04 Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05
66%
34%
Total shots
Bayer 04 LeverkusenBayer 04 Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05
12
8
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.