Postmatch editorial

FC Augsburg flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-2 FC Augsburg. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen struck first through Patrik Schick 12', but FC Augsburg recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Bayer 04 Leverkusen led Total shots 36-11, even though the scoreboard went another way. Bayer 04 Leverkusen also shaded Shots on target 10-5.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Bayer 04 Leverkusen the favourite at 70.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

70.2%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

FC Augsburg

36

11

Shots on target

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

FC Augsburg

10

5

Possession

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

FC Augsburg

71%

29%