Postmatch editorial
Bari 1908 flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Bari 1908 3-1 Modena. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Gabriele Moncini put the first mark on the match 22', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Modena led Total shots 12-19, even though the scoreboard went another way. Modena also shaded Possession 38%-62%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Modena the favourite at 59.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Modena
59.3%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
ModenaBari 1908
Modena
12
19
Possession
ModenaBari 1908
Modena
38%
62%
Shots on target
Bari 1908Bari 1908
Modena
8
6