Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Barbastro 2-0 Espanyol. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Sito Barrera scored 81' for Barbastro.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Espanyol led Total shots 4-25, even though the scoreboard went another way. Espanyol also shaded Shots on target 3-9.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Espanyol the favourite at 76.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Espanyol

76.9%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Espanyol

Barbastro

Espanyol

4

25

Shots on target

Espanyol

Barbastro

Espanyol

3

9

Possession

Espanyol

Barbastro

Espanyol

26%

74%