Postmatch editorial

Barbastro flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Barbastro 1-0 Almería. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Franc Carbonell put the first mark on the match 28', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Almería led Total shots 4-11, even though the scoreboard went another way. Almería also shaded Shots on target 2-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Almería the favourite at 74.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Almería

74.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Almería

Barbastro

Almería

4

11

Shots on target

Almería

Barbastro

Almería

2

4

Possession

Almería

Barbastro

Almería

27%

73%