Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Baník Ostrava 4-3 Austria Wien. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Austria Wien struck first through Maurice Malone 4', but Baník Ostrava recovered and flipped the match.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Austria Wien led Corners 4-9, even though the scoreboard went another way. Austria Wien also shaded Possession 42%-58%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Austria Wien the favourite at 40.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Austria Wien
40.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
Austria WienBaník Ostrava
Austria Wien
4
9
Possession
Austria WienBaník Ostrava
Austria Wien
42%
58%
Shots on target
Baník Ostrava
Austria Wien
7
7