Postmatch editorial

Balzan upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Balzan 2-1 Slovan Bratislava. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Bojan Kaljević put the first mark on the match 17', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Slovan Bratislava led Possession 32%-68%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Slovan Bratislava also shaded Corners 3-8.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Slovan Bratislava the favourite at 65.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Slovan Bratislava

65.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Slovan Bratislava

Balzan

Slovan Bratislava

32%

68%

Corners

Slovan Bratislava

Balzan

Slovan Bratislava

3

8

Total shots

Slovan Bratislava

Balzan

Slovan Bratislava

6

10