Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Bala Town 0-1 Larne. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Davy McDaid put the first mark on the match 2', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Bala Town led Shots on target 4-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Larne also shaded Corners 5-6.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Bala Town the favourite at 39.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Bala Town

39.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Bala Town

Bala Town

Larne

4

2

Corners

Larne

Bala Town

Larne

5

6

Possession

Larne

Bala Town

Larne

47%

53%