Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the pre-match lean
The final score was Bahrain 0-1 China PR. It landed away from the main pre-match lean and counts as a genuine twist in the numbers.
The decisive turn arrived late when Zhang Yuning scored 90+1' for China PR.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: China PR led Shots on target 1-3. Bahrain also shaded Possession 71%-29%.
Before kickoff, our model made No clear call the likeliest result at n/a, while the median bookmaker line priced Bahrain at 61.3% implied.
Prediction checks
Market result
Bahrain
61.3%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
China PRBahrain
China PR
1
3
Possession
BahrainBahrain
China PR
71%
29%
Corners
China PRBahrain
China PR
3
4
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.