Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was AVS 3-1 Porto. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Aderllan Santos scored 80' for AVS.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Porto led Total shots 9-20, even though the scoreboard went another way. Porto also shaded Possession 31%-69%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Porto the favourite at 76.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Porto

76.3%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Porto

AVS

Porto

9

20

Possession

Porto

AVS

Porto

31%

69%

Corners

Porto

AVS

Porto

3

7