Postmatch editorial

Avellino made the pre-match prices look right

The final score was Avellino 1-0 Modena. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.

Fabrizio Bagheria put the first mark on the match 44', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Avellino led Shots on target 8-1. Avellino also shaded Total shots 17-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Avellino the favourite at 67.1% implied probability. That market lean landed.

Market check

Market result

Avellino

67.1%

Hit
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Avellino

Avellino

Modena

8

1

Total shots

Avellino

Avellino

Modena

17

4

Corners

Avellino

Avellino

Modena

6

0