Postmatch editorial

Austria Lustenau upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Austria Lustenau 1-0 Blau-Weiß Linz. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Yadaly Diaby put the first mark on the match 37', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Blau-Weiß Linz led Possession 37%-63%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Austria Lustenau also shaded Shots on target 4-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Blau-Weiß Linz the favourite at 45.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Blau-Weiß Linz

45.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Blau-Weiß Linz

Austria Lustenau

Blau-Weiß Linz

37%

63%

Shots on target

Austria Lustenau

Austria Lustenau

Blau-Weiß Linz

4

3

Corners

Blau-Weiß Linz

Austria Lustenau

Blau-Weiß Linz

6

9