Postmatch editorial
Atlético Grau upset the pre-match prices
The final score was Atlético Grau 1-0 Melgar. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
D. Barreto put the first mark on the match 69', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Melgar led Shots on target 2-9, even though the scoreboard went another way. Melgar also shaded Corners 0-4.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Melgar the favourite at 40.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Melgar
40.9%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
MelgarAtlético Grau
Melgar
2
9
Corners
MelgarAtlético Grau
Melgar
0
4
Total shots
MelgarAtlético Grau
Melgar
8
22