Postmatch editorial
Atlético Baleares flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Atlético Baleares 2-0 Gimnàstic Tarragona. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Guillem Castell scored 82' for Atlético Baleares.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Gimnàstic Tarragona led Corners 2-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. Atlético Baleares also shaded Shots on target 7-5.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Gimnàstic Tarragona the favourite at 43.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Gimnàstic Tarragona
43.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
Gimnàstic TarragonaAtlético Baleares
Gimnàstic Tarragona
2
5
Shots on target
Atlético BalearesAtlético Baleares
Gimnàstic Tarragona
7
5
Total shots
Atlético BalearesAtlético Baleares
Gimnàstic Tarragona
13
10