Postmatch editorial

Villarreal upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Athletic Club 1-2 Villarreal. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Sergi Cardona put the first mark on the match 26', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Athletic Club led Corners 15-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Athletic Club also shaded Total shots 18-12.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Athletic Club the favourite at 48.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Athletic Club

48.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Athletic Club

Athletic Club

Villarreal

15

3

Total shots

Athletic Club

Athletic Club

Villarreal

18

12

Possession

Athletic Club

Athletic Club

Villarreal

61%

39%