Postmatch editorial

Formentera flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Athletic Club 0-1 Formentera. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Álvaro Muñiz scored 90+6' for Formentera.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Athletic Club led Shots on target 6-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Athletic Club also shaded Total shots 25-8.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Athletic Club the favourite at 92.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Athletic Club

92.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Athletic Club

Athletic Club

Formentera

6

2

Total shots

Athletic Club

Athletic Club

Formentera

25

8

Corners

Athletic Club

Athletic Club

Formentera

10

4