Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Aston Villa 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Conor Gallagher put the first mark on the match 12', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Tottenham Hotspur led Shots on target 1-5. Tottenham Hotspur also shaded Total shots 5-10.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Aston Villa the favourite at 44.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Aston Villa

44.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Tottenham Hotspur

Aston Villa

Tottenham Hotspur

1

5

Total shots

Tottenham Hotspur

Aston Villa

Tottenham Hotspur

5

10

Possession

Tottenham Hotspur

Aston Villa

Tottenham Hotspur

45%

55%