Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Aston Villa 4-2 Liverpool. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Morgan Rogers put the first mark on the match 42', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Aston Villa led Shots on target 9-5. Liverpool also shaded Corners 4-9.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Liverpool the favourite at 40.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Liverpool
40.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Aston VillaAston Villa
Liverpool
9
5
Corners
LiverpoolAston Villa
Liverpool
4
9
Possession
LiverpoolAston Villa
Liverpool
45%
55%