Postmatch editorial

AFC Bournemouth upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Arsenal 1-2 AFC Bournemouth. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Eli Kroupi put the first mark on the match 17', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Arsenal led Corners 10-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Arsenal also shaded Total shots 15-8.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Arsenal the favourite at 66.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Arsenal

66.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Arsenal

Arsenal

AFC Bournemouth

10

1

Total shots

Arsenal

Arsenal

AFC Bournemouth

15

8

Possession

Arsenal

Arsenal

AFC Bournemouth

52%

48%