Postmatch editorial

Arouca upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Arouca 3-1 Tondela. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Hyun-ju Lee scored 85' for Arouca.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Arouca led Shots on target 4-2. Arouca also shaded Total shots 16-11.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Tondela the favourite at 44.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Tondela

44.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Arouca

Arouca

Tondela

4

2

Total shots

Arouca

Arouca

Tondela

16

11

Corners

Tondela

Arouca

Tondela

5

6